Afghanistan
271. Summary of Conclusions of a Special Coordination Committee Meeting
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Office File, Meetings File, Box 21, SCC Meeting #313, Held 5/15/80, 5/80. Secret. Carter initialed “C” in the top right corner. The meeting took place in the White House Situation Room.
272. Memorandum of Conversation
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 61, Soviet Exchanges: 1/79–10/80. Secret; Sensitive. Drafted by Krimer. In the upper right corner, an unknown hand wrote: “ZB, The approved version. Muskie has asked that it be very closely held.” The meeting took place in Hofburg Palace. For the full text of the memorandum of conversation, see Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, vol. VI, Soviet Union, Document 278.
273. Summary of Conclusions of a Special Coordination Committee Meeting
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Office File, Meetings File, Box 21, SCC Meeting #313, Held 5/15/80, 5/80. Secret. Presumably the Summary of Conclusions was filed in an incorrect folder or the folder was labeled with an incorrect date. Carter wrote: “Zbig” and initialed “J” in the upper right corner. The meeting took place in the White House Situation Room.
274. Telegram From the Embassy in Pakistan to the Department of State
Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy File, P870097–0461. Secret; Immediate; Nodis.
275. Telegram From the Embassy in the Soviet Union to the Department of State
Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy File, D800259–0354. Confidential; Noforn. Sent for information to USICA, DIA, CNO, COMNAVINTCOM, Warsaw, Beijing, Belgrade, Bucharest, Budapest, Hong Kong, Islamabad, Kabul, Leningrad, London, New Delhi, Munich, Paris, Prague, Sofia, and USNATO.
276. Memorandum From the Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs (Newsom) to the Director of the Policy Planning Staff (Lake)
Source: National Archives, RG 59, Records of Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs David Newsom, Lot 81D154, folder 3. Secret; Sensitive; Not in System. Copies were sent to Saunders, Tarnoff, and Barry.
277. Telegram From the Embassy in the Soviet Union to the Department of State
Source: National Archives, RG 59, Office Files of Marshall D. Shulman, Special Advisor to the Secretary on Soviet Affairs, 1977–1981, Lot 81D109, Watson-Gromyko meeting, 5/26/80. Secret; Immediate; Nodis; Cherokee. For the full text of this telegram, see Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, vol. VI, Soviet Union, Document 279.
278. Intelligence Information Cable Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Department of Defense, Afghan War Collection, Box 5, Pak Support for Insurgents. Secret; [handling restriction not declassified].
279. Memorandum From Director of Central Intelligence Turner to the Chairman of the Special Coordinating Committee on Intelligence (Brzezinski)
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Office File, For President or Brzezinski Only File, Box 88, PA—Very Sensitive: 1–6/80. Secret; Sensitive; [handling restriction not declassified].
280. Intelligence Memorandum Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, Office of Support Services, Job 81T00208R: Production Case Files, Box 4, Afghanistan: Factions in the Ruling Party, An Intelligence Memorandum. Secret; [handling restriction not declassified]. A typed note at the bottom of the page reads: “The author of this paper is [name not declassified] of the Near East-South Asia Division, Office of Political Analysis. It was coordinated with the Offices of Strategic Research and Central Reference and the National Intelligence Officers for the Near East and South Asia and the USSR and Eastern Europe. Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to the Chief, Southwest Asia Analytic Center, [less than 1 line not declassified]. Research for this paper was completed on 23 May 1980.”
281. Summary of Conclusions of a Policy Review Committee Meeting
Source: Carter Library, Donated Historical Material, Brzezinski Collection, Brzezinski’s Geographic Files, Box 17, Southwest Asia/Persian Gulf—General (William) Odom’s File: (6/80–9/80). Secret. The meeting took place in the White House Situation Room. In the upper right corner, Carter wrote: “Zbig. J.”
282. Report Prepared in the Bureau of Intelligence and Research
Source: Department of Defense, Afghan War Collection, Box 1, Afghan Politics. Unclassified. Drafted by Van Hollen (INR/RNA/SOA) and approved by Harris (INR/DDR/RNA).
283. Memorandum From Thomas Thornton of the National Security Council Staff to the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski)
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Office File, For President or Brzezinski Only File, Box 88, PA—Very Sensitive: 1–6/80. Secret; Sensitive. Sent for action. In the upper right corner, Aaron wrote: “ZB—I agree with this. Every time we push for details we get a limp leg. We should ask for a full-scale briefing for you. DA 6/6.”
284. Letter From Secretary of State Muskie to Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 61, Soviet Exchanges: 1/79–10/80. Secret; Sensitive. Carter initialed “C” in the upper right corner. In a memorandum to Carter, May 28, Brzezinski noted that he gave Muskie some proposed language for the letter during a breakfast meeting the previous Friday, May 23. Referring to a draft of the letter, Brzezinski added that he made some changes so that the Soviets could not infer from the letter that the United States accepted the “puppet regime” in Kabul. (Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Country File, Box 2, Afghanistan: 5/80–1/81) The draft of the letter was not found. In telegram 9449 from Moscow, June 12, the Embassy reported that Muskie’s letter was delivered by Watson during his meeting with Gromyko that day. In Gromyko’s reaction to the letter, the Embassy noted that he said it “offered no prospects for reaching a settlement, stating that insistence on prior withdrawal of Soviet troops is a dead end.” (National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy File, P880025–0493) Telegram 9449 is printed in Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, vol. VI, Soviet Union, Document 283.
285. Intelligence Information Cable Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Country File, Box 2, Afghanistan: 5/80–1/81. Secret; [handling restriction not declassified]. Printed from a copy that was received in the White House Situation Room. In a June 7 covering memorandum to Brzezinski, attached but not printed, Thornton noted that the situation report from the Station Chief in Kabul was “worth reading.” He continued: “It is particularly interesting, incidentally, that the COS’s views have changed quite a bit over the past several months. Previously, he was much more bearish about the near term prospects for the insurgents standing off the Soviets. He is now more in the mainstream of analysis.”
286. Action Memorandum From the Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs (Vest) and the Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern and South Asian Affairs (Saunders) to Secretary of State Muskie
Source: National Archives, RG 59, Records of Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs David Newsom, Lot 81D154, folder 2. Secret; Sensitive. Sent through Christopher. Drafted by Coon; concurred in by Shulman, Kreisberg, and Barry. A typed notation in the top right corner of the memorandum reads: “DepSec took action for Secretary. 6/13/80.” Below that, an unknown hand wrote to Newsom: “DDN—Urgent. See Secretary’s decision on p. 4.” An unknown hand circled and crossed out both notations.
287. Memorandum Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Central Intelligence Agency, National Intelligence Council Files, Job 82B00561R, Box 1, NICM 80–10003CX: Soviet Casualties in Afghanistan, 10 June 1980. Top Secret; [codeword and handling restriction not declassified]
288. Memorandum Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: National Security Council, Carter Administration Intelligence Files, Box I–047, Afghanistan: 11 Sep 1979–22 Jul 1980. Secret; [handling restriction not declassified]. In a June 11 covering memorandum to Carter, attached but not printed, Turner wrote: “Attached is the memorandum you requested on Afghanistan.” Carter initialed “C” in the upper right corner of Turner’s memorandum.
289. Memorandum From Acting Director of Central Intelligence Carlucci to Secretary of State Muskie and the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski)
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Office File, For President or Brzezinski Only File, Box 88, PA—Very Sensitive: 7–9/80. Secret; Sensitive; [handling restriction not declassified]. In the upper right corner, Brzezinski wrote to Aaron, June 17: “DA hold a meeting on this with Carlucci & Reinhardt. ZB.”
290. Memorandum of Conversation
Source: National Archives, RG 59, Office Files of Marshall D. Shulman, Special Advisor to the Secretary on Soviet Affairs, 1977–1981, Lot 81D109, EM–AD, 6/16/80. Secret. Drafted by Shulman. The time and location of the meeting are not noted on the memorandum of conversation.
291. Memorandum From Thomas Thornton of the National Security Council Staff to the President’s Deputy Assistant for National Security Affairs (Aaron)
Source: National Security Council, Carter Administration Intelligence Files, Box I–047, Afghanistan: 11 Sep 1979–22 Jul 1980. Secret; Sensitive. Sent for information.
292. Memorandum From the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs (Barry) to the Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs (Newsom) and the Special Adviser to the Secretary of State on Soviet Affairs (Shulman)
Source: National Archives, RG 59, Records of Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs David Newsom, Lot 81D154, folder 1. Secret; Nodis.
293. Letter From Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko to Secretary of State Muskie
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 61, Soviet Exchanges: 1/79–10/80. Secret; Sensitive. The letter was transmitted in telegram 175021 to Moscow, July 2. (Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 61, Soviet Exchanges: 1/79–10/80)
294. Intelligence Assessment Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Central Intelligence Agency, Office of the Director of Central Intelligence, Job 81B00401R: Subject Files of the Presidential Briefing Coordinator for DCI (1977–81), Box 6, Afghan Crisis—Pubs Soviet Moves/Options (May 1980). Top Secret; [codeword and handling restriction not declassified]. A statement on the cover page reads: “This assessment was prepared by Stephen S. Kaplan USSR/EE Division, Office of Political Analysis. This paper has been coordinated with the Offices of Strategic Research and Economic Research.”
295. Intelligence Memorandum Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Central Intelligence Agency, Job 09–00438R, Box 1, Afghanistan: Iran’s Role in the Crisis; An Intelligence Memorandum [memorandum number not declassified]. Top Secret; [codeword and handling restriction not declassified]. A typed note at the bottom of the page reads in part: “The author of this memorandum is [less than 1 line not declassified] Office of Political Analysis. It was coordinated with the National Intelligence Officer for Near East/South Asia. Research for this memorandum was completed on 27 June 1980.”
296. Paper Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Central Intelligence Agency, Office of the Director of Central Intelligence, Job 81B00401R: Subject Files of the Presidential Briefing Coordinator for DCI (1977–81), Box 6, Afghan Crisis—Pubs Insurgents. Top Secret; [codeword and handling restriction not declassified]. Attached but not printed is a note [text not declassified] to Turner, July 2, which identified the author of the paper as [text not declassified] a China analyst in the Office of Political Analysis.
297. Memorandum From Director of Central Intelligence Turner to President Carter
Source: Central Intelligence Agency, Office of the Director of Central Intelligence, Job 81B00112R: Subject Files, Box 16, 80 Saudi Arabia. Secret; [handling restriction not declassified].
298. Summary of Conclusions of a Special Coordinating Committee (Intelligence) Meeting
Source: National Security Council, Carter Administration Intelligence Files, Box I–020, SCC Minutes and S/C, 1980. Secret; Sensitive. In the upper right corner, Carter wrote: “Zbig, J.” The meeting took place in the White House Situation Room. The full text of the Summary of Conclusions is scheduled for publication in Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, vol. XIX, South Asia.
299. Telegram From the Department of State to Secretary of State Muskie’s Aircraft
Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Europe, USSR and East/West, Brement, Subject File, Box 46, Afghanistan: 7–12/80. Secret; Immediate; Nodis; Cherokee. Printed from a copy that was received in the White House Situation Room.
300. Intelligence Assessment Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency
Source: Central Intelligence Agency, Office of the Director of Central Intelligence, Job 82M00501R: 1980 Subject Files, Box 12, C–367, 09 Jul–27 Aug 80, Afghanistan. Top Secret; [codeword and handling restriction not declassified]. A statement on the cover page reads: “This assessment was prepared by the Office of Strategic Research.” In a memorandum to Turner, August 1, Brzezinski observed that the Soviets could escalate military operations in Afghanistan after the Olympics and requested an analysis of Soviet troops both in Afghanistan and those either supporting the campaign or poised to enter it. (Ibid.) Clarke forwarded this assessment to Carlucci, August 5, noting that it satisfied Brzezinski’s request. (Ibid.) Carlucci responded to Brzezinski on August 6, attaching the assessment and noting that since publication, the Soviets planned to send in an additional 550-man airborne unit. (Ibid.) Brzezinski wrote to Turner, August 11, calling the assessment a “first-rate analysis.” (Ibid.)