File No. 893.811/158.

The Secretary of State to Minister Reinsch.

No. 197.]

Sir: Referring to your telegram of November 2, and in reply thereto, there are enclosed herewith two copies of a letter dated November 10, 1914, to the Department of State from the American Red Cross relating to the Huai River Conservancy project and two copies of a letter dated October 31, 1914, to the Chinese Minister here from the Red Cross on the same subject. You will in your discretion communicate the substance of the enclosed letters to the Chinese Government.

I am [etc.]

For the Secretary of State:
Robert Lansing
.
[Inclosure.]

The Chairman of the Central Committee of the American National Red Cross to the Secretary of State.

Sir: Receipt is hereby acknowledged of your favor of November 2, transmitting paraphrase of a telegram received on the same date by the State Department from the American Minister at Peking, regarding the need for immediate relief work in the Huai River region in China. It is also noted that the telegram itself expresses the hope of the Minister of Agriculture and Commerce of China that the American Red Cross will use its good offices toward consummating the Huai River loans immediately, so as to furnish employment and relief for those who are now suffering from the floods.

On the 30th of October the Red Cross received from the Chinese Minister in Washington a request of somewhat similar import to the one transmitted from Peking by the American Minister, and on the following day we replied to his excellency, the Chinese Minister, as per the copy herewith. This gives a review of the present financial situation touching the proposed loan which will be necessary to realize the expectations of China, and I hand it to you as the best reply we can now make to the suggestion of the Minister of Commerce and Agriculture in Peking.

The Red Cross has not failed to keep in close touch with the banking element in the United States who, should Chinese bonds be offered, would necessarily be concerned in their placing, and we are satisfied that at the present time it would not be possible to obtain from reliable bankers in the United States an underwriting of such an amount—estimated at thirty million dollars ($30,000,000)—as would be required to execute the proposed works.

Geo. W. Davis
.
[Page 115]
[Subinclosure.]

The Chairman of the Central Committee of the American National Red Cross to the Chinese Minister.

My Dear Sir: I have the honor to acknowledge the receipt of your letter of the 30th instant, in which you mention receipt of the text of the report of the Board of Engineers which I had the honor to submit to your excellency on October 28th. I also note that you are ready to take up with Miss Boardman the question of the placing of the loan, in the issuance of which the Red Cross has undertaken to exercise its good offices with the American bankers.

Until the full report, with all requisite maps, is completed and published, it will be impossible to obtain the opinion of bankers upon the underwriting of the Chinese bonds that must be issued, for they will certainly wish to have the advice of their own consulting engineers respecting the feasibility of the undertaking and the value of the assigned revenue.

Respecting this presentation of the business to the bankers we are embarrassed, in deciding whether or not in submitting the report proper we should also make known the opinion that the Minister of Agriculture and Commerce of China has expressed as to a feature of the design of the board that must be adhered to, if the revenue assigned for the service of the bonds shall have any adequate positive value.

As at present advised, and until it is known whether your excellency’s Government adopts or rejects the view of the Minister of Commerce, we are inclined to submit to the bankers only the report proper, for if the expressed opinion of Mr. Chang Chien (which it is felt might properly be considered as inopportune, since he has not seen the official report) were submitted to the bankers, we do not believe the project would receive a moment’s consideration.

We are expediting the completion of the maps, etc., so that there may be a full presentation of the project at the earliest possible moment, of the result of which you will receive timely advices.

Your excellency will not be surprised to learn that we fear the present disturbed condition of the world’s finances—due to the European war, which also involves to some degree the Orient—makes the attempt to place at this time any large loan, for any purpose, anywhere in the world, most inopportune. We fear that we will be told that until the warring nations are all at peace, and the territory of China shall no longer be involved in this world warfare, the bankers will be unable to place the bonds required for this great work of Chinese internal improvement, in which accomplishment the Red Cross has a purely philanthropic interest, an interest that China has already recognized and commended.

It is true that the period of time within which the Red Cross was given by China certain exclusive rights to develop the project and negotiate for funds is drawing to a close, but when these obligations to further the interests of China with respect to this conservancy project were assumed by the Red Cross, no one had in mind the possibility that before the expiration of the period allowed all but one of the great powers of the world, and some of the lesser, would be engaged in the greatest conflict that has ever occurred in the history of mankind, a convulsion that is so colossal in magnitude and so far-reaching in its effects upon commerce, industry, and finance that disturbed conditions everywhere have taken the place of system, method and stability. But these conditions must, sooner or later, come to an end, and when they are normal we believe that the means may be found for financing the proposed Chinese loan, if the project has the unqualified indorsement of China; and the Red Cross will always be ready to lend its aid in accomplishing the result we all desire. Of course, China can insist on holding literally to the terms of the optional agreement, which, as to time, will expire within a few months.

The United States is the only one of the great world powers that is not a party to the present conflict, and, fortunately, is possessed of large financial resources, so that when the conflict is ended America will soonest be ready to finance such an enterprise as the Huai River Conservancy.

If China should regard the promised good offices of the American Red Cross as an asset of value after the termination of the period specified in the provisional [Page 116] agreement of last February, it would be very satisfactory for us to know this as soon as practicable, for our interest in this great humanitarian work is unabated and we wish to leave nothing undone, now and hereafter, that might contribute to the desired result.

I have [etc.]

Geo. W. Davis
.